News

2026 Shanghai Masters Quarter-Final Betting Guide: Four Tasty Ties to Dissect

Andrew Blakely
Andrew Blakely

The Quarter-Finals Are Set — Here's What to Back

The 2026 Shanghai Masters has reached the business end and, frankly, the draw has served up exactly what we wanted. All eight seeded players came through their last-16 tests unscathed, meaning Thursday's quarter-finals pit genuinely world-class match-ups against one another. Three wins still separate each of these eight players from the £210,000 top prize — and with action getting underway at 7:00am BST, you'll want your bets placed the night before.

Let's get into each quarter-final in turn.

Kyren Wilson vs Mark Williams

The Pick: Kyren Wilson to win

Wilson's title defence is alive and very much kicking. The reigning champion dug himself out of a 4-3 hole against Ronnie O'Sullivan — who had rattled in a hat-trick of century breaks to build that lead — and found something special when it mattered, responding with breaks of 89, 79, and 97 to close out a 6-4 victory. That is the hallmark of a champion: producing your best snooker when the pressure is at its highest.

Mark Williams, to his credit, ground out a 6-5 win over Chris Wakelin, but this is a different proposition entirely. The Shanghai Masters remains arguably the most notable gap on Williams' otherwise distinguished CV — he has never won it, either in its ranking event incarnation or its current invitational format — and his head-to-head record against Wilson works against him here. Wilson holds the superior record between these two, and coming into this match with genuine momentum from a high-quality win over O'Sullivan, I'd be surprised if the Kettering cueist doesn't advance.

Verdict: Back Wilson at around 4/7 to progress.

Zhao Xintong vs Neil Robertson

The Pick: Zhao Xintong to win, with temptation towards Robertson at the price

This is the most intriguing quarter-final of the lot. Zhao was utterly imperious in a 6-2 demolition of Ding Junhui — three centuries, little fuss, all class. Robertson, by contrast, was dragged through the wringer by Xiao Guodong in a 6-5 thriller that went the full distance, with his opponent even posting a 147 maximum break during the match. That Robertson won the final four frames to steal it speaks volumes about his competitive instinct, but the energy expenditure is worth noting.

Both players are chasing a maiden Shanghai Masters title, which keeps the motivation level even. However, head-to-head form points firmly towards Zhao — the Chinese star leads 3-1 in their personal record, and their most recent meeting was the most significant of all: Zhao beat Robertson 5-2 in last season's Riyadh Season Snooker Championship final. That is not a result Robertson will have forgotten, and you'd imagine he is desperate for revenge. Still, Zhao's current form and composure are formidable. This one could go either way, but lean towards the home favourite.

Verdict: Zhao Xintong to win — just. Take Robertson as a value each-way shout if your bookie offers it.

Judd Trump vs John Higgins

The Pick: Judd Trump to win

The world number one opened his 2026/27 campaign with a composed 6-4 win over Barry Hawkins — nothing earth-shattering, but efficient and controlled. Higgins, meanwhile, had to go the full distance to see off Jack Lisowski in a deciding frame. Trump vs Higgins in a major event always carries a certain weight — these two have met in World Championship finals, so there is no shortage of pedigree or occasion between them.

Trump's current ranking and the manner of his win gives him the edge here. Higgins is never anything other than dangerous — the four-time world champion has an ability to slow matches down and drag opponents into uncomfortable rhythms — but Trump at his best is simply too clinical, too fluent at the table. Back the Bristol potter to make the semis.

Verdict: Trump to win. He's likely to be odds-on; take it.

Quick-Fire Odds Comparison

MatchOur PickApprox. Odds (Decimal)
Wilson vs WilliamsKyren Wilson1.57
Zhao vs RobertsonZhao Xintong1.67
Trump vs HigginsJudd Trump1.50

Odds are indicative and subject to change. Always check your preferred bookmaker — Betway, Bet365, and William Hill are all typically well-priced on snooker markets — for the latest figures before placing.

Final Thoughts

The 2026 Shanghai Masters has delivered on its early promise, and Thursday's quarter-finals should be compelling viewing regardless of where your money sits. Wilson defending his crown with that kind of fight against O'Sullivan is a big statement; Zhao's dominance continues to impress; and Trump vs Higgins is always worth setting the alarm for, whatever the hour.

Good luck — and as ever, please gamble responsibly. Set your limits before you place your first bet, and if you need support, visit BeGambleAware.org or call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133.